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A Simulation Model of Guinea Worm Disease in Sudan: Public Health Consequences of Massive Refugee Movement

The devastating civil war in Sudan may soon end, allowing displaced persons to return to their villages. This migration could greatly increase incidence of Guinea worm, a debilitating parasitic disease. In preparation, we simulate the propagation of the disease and control measures as millions of transients journey home.

Co-authors: Paul Goldsman, James Zingeser